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The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."

Russian Savings Bank: The contribution of artificial intelligence to Russia's GDP may reach 11.2 trillion rubles by 2030. Alexander Bedia Xin, the first vice chairman of the board of directors of Russian Savings Bank, said in his speech at the AI Journey that the application of artificial intelligence in Russia may bring 11.2 trillion rubles to GDP by 2030.Israeli: Community alarm sounded near Gaza.Qianjin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: The subsidiary company obtained the dapoxetine hydrochloride Pharmaceutical Registration Certificate, and Qianjin Pharmaceutical announced that Qianjin Xiangjiang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. received the dapoxetine hydrochloride Pharmaceutical Registration Certificate approved and issued by National Medical Products Administration. The medicine is suitable for the treatment of male premature ejaculation patients aged 18 to 64.

Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time for financial institutions to usher in development opportunities. "The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that in the past two years, the personal pension system has achieved remarkable results in general, with a rapid increase in the number of accounts opened and a rapid enrichment of financial products. The data shows that at the end of June 2024, the number of individual pension accounts opened exceeded 60 million. "The implementation of the personal pension system in the pioneering urban areas has enabled the residents to have a more intuitive understanding of the personal pension system. At the same time, it has accumulated rich experience for government departments and financial departments to improve the personal pension system and optimize personal pension financial services. " Yan Feipeng said. (SSE)The full implementation of the personal pension system may bring more medium and long-term funds, and the allocation value of the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) has attracted much attention. On December 12, the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) closed up 1.07%, with a turnover of 92.5438 million yuan. The constituent stocks were all red, with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by 2.47%, Kweichow Moutai rising by 1.97% and Wuliangye rising by 1.62%. China Merchants Bank and China Ping An followed suit. In the news, since December 15th, the personal pension system has been extended to the whole country, and the first batch of 85 index funds have been included in the product range, which has attracted attention, including 12 Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds and 300ETF(159925) in South China. According to industry insiders, since the personal pension fund system came into being, both personal pension funds and sales organizations have steadily expanded. The increase of fund products and the continuous addition of new sales organizations will bring more medium and long-term funds to the capital market, and the Southern CSI 300ETF(159925) will benefit in the medium and long term.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. Russia has invested a lot of money in its fleet to avoid the western oil price cap sanctions.